FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. (KNWA) - MCS tracking south well to the west of our area early Thursday morning is not being handled well by the model solutions.
The HRRR is closest, so will follow its lead, for the most part, today with regards to pops.
Some isolated afternoon convection is expected on Thursday, especially from east central and southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas, with the activity dying off by sunset.
Hot weather is expected Thursday through the weekend as an upper ridge will be over or just east of the region.
By early next week, the deep southerly flow on the western side of the ridge will allow deeper tropical moisture to spread north into the area, increasing the chances for showers and thunderstorms, and lowering afternoon high temperatures.
It looks like Tuesday may see the greatest coverage of convection in our area before the upper ridge retrogrades back to the west, likely drying us out and heating us back up by later next week.
Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.
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