It’s no surprise Republican candidates are polling as the winners for Arkansas, for when it comes to some of the ballot issues like medical marijuana, the Arkansas Poll results show a tighter race.
Arkansas Poll director and UA Political Science Professor, Dr. Janine Parry wants to know how you will vote and she may get that answer before November 8th.
‘Because of the miracle of statistics, that means that we stand a really good chance, in fact a 95% chance that the results we get out of just 800 people will be within three or four points of the results that we would get if we sat all two million Arkansas adults down at a table and polled all of them,” said Parry.
For the 18th year in the poll’s history, Parry focused on a number of hot button issues and races: U.S. Senate race along with the issues of medical marijuana, abortion, same-sex marriage, and the state of the state.
“The big three are almost always the economy, health care and education and that stability is quite startling,” said Parry.
Parry said the results aren’t surprising due to Arkansas’ rightward turn in recent years.
“They look like they’ll be 20 to 25 point gaps for the Republican candidates over the Democratic candidates.
When polling the voters, the results for medical marijuana show it’s a coin flip for it to pass or fail.
“So whether it’s the same, razor thin margin, but it fails like it did in 2012, or it’s a razor thin margin and it succeeds, is anybody’s guess,” added Parry.
For Parry and the pollsters, it’s no guess, but rather a science in figuring how the Natural State will cast its ballot come election day.
Click here for Arkansas Poll Data.