Weather Blog: Cold Weather Arrives

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Early morning surface analysis shows the cold front which moved through yesterday is now into southeast Texas.

There is some light precipitation aloft noted on radar imagery across south-central Oklahoma, but the low levels are so dry that it may not be reaching the ground. An area of low clouds will extend across portions of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this morning, eventually decreasing by afternoon.

It will be rather cool today, with a slower warmup in areas with clouds this morning. High pressure will build across the area overnight with lows falling into the upper teens and 20s for
Tuesday morning.

There will be a brief warmup on Wednesday before another cold front arrives in western Oklahoma by
Thursday morning.

Global models differ in the track and amplification of the upcoming winter storm system (which is pretty typical at this time range). There will continue to be fluctuations in the model guidance over the next few days.

The main message is that there will be a mix of wintry precipitation starting Thursday night through
Saturday across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas. It does still appear that a transition zone of wintry precipitation will set up across parts of northeast Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas,
with rain across southeast Oklahoma and portions of western Arkansas.

Snow and ice amounts will both depend on the track of the upper storm system, and the thermal profiles, for example, how much sleet mixes in with snow. Those with travel plans late this week should continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

The winter storm will clear out from west to east Saturday night with cold temperatures on Sunday.
 

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