(KNWA) – Main forecast concern is ongoing heavy rain and flooding potential across most of Eastern Oklahoma and all of Northwest and West Central Arkansas.
The existing flood watch will remain unchanged with this forecast package but would expect that the day shift could begin trimming the northern edges of it.
The slow-moving cold front has made some, but not a lot of progress into the forecast area early this morning, currently stretching from central portions of creek county northeastward to near Bartlesville and northeast of Nowata.
Additional showers and thunderstorms have begun to develop along the cold front during the past hour, a trend that should continue through the rest of the morning.
This activity will move over areas that saw between 1 and 2 inches of rain late yesterday evening and earlier this morning.
Also, thunderstorms presently in portions of Western North Texas will make a run at parts of east central and Southeast Oklahoma later this morning, posing a heavy rain and flooding threat as well.
The axis of heavy rain will shift southward through the day with the front, leaving mainly light to moderate rainfall potential behind it.
The bulk of the heavy rain potential still looks to be southeast of the area by this evening so the timing of the flood watch looks good for now for the southeastern counties.
In addition to the heavy rain and flood threats, instability will increase this afternoon in advance of the front across portions of southeast Oklahoma, leading to a small severe thunderstorm threat.
The front is expected to stall for a short time just to the southeast of the area until the upper disturbance finally swings past late tomorrow.
This will keep rain chances high, although overall amounts will be lower by that point.
Surface high pressure will move into the area to close out the work week, bringing a brief break in the wet weather.
Another round of thunderstorms and below normal temperatures will accompany another cold front this weekend.
For a full look at the weather forecast, click here.