After a very quiet stretch of mild and dry weather, get ready for changes with rain and storms making a return to the area. A big system out to the west will be moving into the region by Wed. Ahead of this system will be abundant moisture from the Gulf of Mexico leading to the potential for heavy rain in spots.
The stronger storms at this point will be located to our SW and W in Texas and parts of Oklahoma, which has led to a greater potential for flooding in those areas.
The severe weather risk looks to remain to the SW of the NWA area, but could creep north into portions of the Ouachitas or even the River Valley by late Wed night into Thu early morning.
Here’s the latest expected timing of the rain with the future radar at 1 PM Wed. Notice the bulk of the storms in western OK, but a few stray showers could clip the NWA/RV area during the afternoon Wed.
By late Wed evening around 11 PM, the storms will start to move into the entire area leading to gusty winds and heavy downpours at times. The strongest storms should still remain out west in parts of eastern OK at this time.
The heaviest rain and strongest storms will approach extreme eastern OK after midnight.
Finally… a line of heavy downpours and gusty winds will start to push through NWA/RV area during the early morning hours Thu. The good news is this system moves out pretty quick and it will turn sunny Thu afternoon & remain mild with highs still in the mid to upper 60s.
Don’t get used to the mild weather for long though. A strong cold front will move in overnight Thu into Fri morning making it feel like winter again. The cold weather continues to pour in this weekend and it might even bring some flurries to the area this coming Sat.
Have a great last week of 2018 and Happy New Year to you and your family in 2019! Keep it here with your Weather Authority for the latest weather information. –Dan Skoff