A band of showers with embedded thunderstorms continues to track east across the forecast area early this morning.
Cam models generally suggest that this area of convection will slide east of the area during the morning hours, with additional showers/thunderstorms focusing more across northeast Oklahoma/northwest
Arkansas this afternoon.
The severe weather threat will be low through the day, although areas of locally heavy rainfall may occur.
Convection will develop across New Mexico into west Texas later today, ahead of a powerful upper-level cyclone lifting out of the desert southwest. This activity will surge east with the dryline overnight, approaching eastern Oklahoma late tonight.
While instability is forecast to remain rather low, a deeply sheared environment may result in some sporadic strong winds. Showers/storms will move into western Arkansas Wednesday morning, with precipitation eventually exiting the forecast area later Wednesday afternoon.
Gusty south to southwest winds will develop behind the exiting precipitation, with gusts around 40-45 MPH likely across a large portion of the forecast area. Depending
On the depth of mixing, could see some gusts over 50 MPH in a few spots.
We`ll eventually need a wind advisory but will hold off on issuance for now. Gusty west to northwest winds will persist into Thursday as well.