An upper wave will be moving over the region today in an NW flow aloft but the impact will be limited to some passing mid/high clouds this morning.
Temperatures will end up slightly warmer today with a more substantial warm-up Tuesday as south winds increase. Considerable high clouds will move in during the day however and while this may limit the mixing of higher wind gusts, still anticipate a breezy day with dew points only slowly coming up. An elevated fire spread potential could develop.
Another fast moving shortwave will slide across central plains Wednesday with a weak SFC boundary forced south into Oklahoma and Arkansas, mainly helping keep the wind speeds down with a slight cool down across northern areas.
A stronger system will follow quickly and deepen as it moves across the Rockies late Wednesday into Thursday. More significant moisture return will ensue in response with a few light showers possible by late Wednesday night, but higher precipitation chances during the day Thursday.
The surface low will deepen near the Red River Thursday with a weak, unstable air mass spreading north into parts of Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas and potential for at least isolated elevated thunderstorms.