Weather Blog: Storms Exiting, Sunshine Returns Later Today

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We will initially be dealing with a large trailing region of light to moderate rainfall and embedded thunder during the pre-dawn and early morning hours.

This precipitation should end over far south-central Missouri by mid-morning.

The complex of thunderstorms has shifted a frontal boundary south into northern Arkansas and southeastern Missouri. Additionally, moisture transport into the Missouri Ozarks is being interrupted due to active convection near and south of the I-40 corridor in Oklahoma.

The big question regarding the prospects for severe storms today and tonight will be whether or not the front can shift back north and whether the atmosphere can sufficiently destabilize. Short range models (including cams) are offering a wide variety of solutions regarding these topic matters.

It initially looks like scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain possible this morning and early this afternoon. The main area of focus may end up being across southeastern Kansas and west-central Missouri where short term models indicate that elevated instability may become uncapped.

A few of these storms may reach marginally severe levels for hail.

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