Weather Blog: Rain chances for next several days

Weather Talk

The next couple of days will favor dry conditions with gradual warming temperature.

This much needed break in the stormy pattern will only last a short time however as moisture will begin to creep back north and moderate west-northwest flow develops aloft. A weak frontal boundary is expected to drop south into Kansas by Saturday with convection forced along this boundary drifting south into parts of eastern Oklahoma by late Saturday night and Sunday.

Severe weather threat would be mainly driven by any strong cold pool that may develop, but unfortunately, above seasonal mean precip water will also be present by this time meaning at least a limited potential for excessive rainfall given the saturated soil in place currently.

A pattern of ridge axis to our west with west-northwest flow aloft will continue to favor the potential for high-plains storms to grow into complexes which move southeast into our area for much of the early part of next week, though the potential for any one period remains rather uncertain at this time.

The weak upper trough is forecast to be over the region by the end of the period keeping daily chances for showers and thunderstorms, which is not a positive development.

Indications are the precipitable water values will climb even higher by this time, thus at least some threat of excessive rainfall will persist, and perhaps even increase late next week.

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