Weather Blog: Rainy start to begin the week

Weather Talk

The latest data suggests that the day should be relatively quiet in the wake of the morning thunderstorms.

Pops go up some tonight in the west and north, especially for areas near the Kansas border, with the remnants of any daytime activity to our west approaching the forecast area.

While some lower end pops were maintained into Tuesday, the main storm focus remains west and north of the forecast area.

The latest ECMWF ejects a shortwave trough into the southern high plains very late Tuesday night into Wednesday. This model also suggests that a complex of storms will organize to our west early
Wednesday morning and will blow through the forecast area later Wednesday morning, with the main focus for afternoon storms to our east and south by afternoon.

It is clear that what happens Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will affect the severe potential in our area come Wednesday afternoon.

The cold front moves thru Wednesday night into Thursday, ending any severe threat for our area.

Several days of below average temps are expected. Rain chances increase briefly to begin the weekend as another wave ejects east. The surface front remains to our south and east and thus only rain/showers are forecast for our area on the cool side of the front.

A quiet weather pattern is expected going into the next work week.

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