Weather Blog: Severe weather possible for tomorrow

Weather Talk

Mid-level vort max currently over southeast Colorado appears rather impressive in morning vapor imagery and this feature will progress slowly eastward into central Kansas by this afternoon.

Associated forcing within an increasingly unstable airmass is expected to support storm development afternoon west and north of the forecast area, with storms possibly spreading into northeast Oklahoma by mid/late afternoon and continuing across the northern portions of the forecast area through the evening hours.

Additional storms developing along the high plains will congeal into a larger storm complex which will also track into the forecast area after midnight. Eventual track and evolution of the MCS overnight will likely be influenced by the degree of earlier evening storms.

Both periods of storm activity will pose a severe weather risk, with the initial earlier evening storms remaining more cellular and maintaining both hail/wind potential with the overnight storms more focused on wind potential.

The influence of the MCS should largely impact Wednesday with the effective SFC boundary being pushed to the far southeast portions of the forecast area which focuses the bulk of the renewed stronger storm development more east and south of the area.

SFC high settles over the region Wednesday night with return flow and rising heights keeping Thursday warm and dry.
 

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