Weather Blog: Warm day to end the week, strong storms possible tomorrow

Weather Talk

A convectively active pattern will set up by the weekend, with periodic chances of thunderstorms beginning late Friday night/Saturday morning and continuing into early next week.

All modes of severe weather will be possible, along with locally heavy rainfall.

Seasonally high mid-level heights will remain in control today, with afternoon temperatures once again running several degrees above normal. South winds will kick up, with a few gusts over 30 mph likely across eastern Oklahoma.

A well-defined dry line will extend through the Texas panhandle into southwestern Texas and should serve as the focus for late afternoon convection as a wave swings through in the southwesterly flow
aloft. It looks to expand quickly, moving into parts of eastern Oklahoma by Saturday morning.

All modes of severe weather are likely, especially into the afternoon as wind fields strengthen and the atmosphere further destabilizes. With the forecast, around 1.5-1.75 inches look possible and locally heavy rainfall will be a concern through the day and into the evening.

Will also need to keep an eye on potential redevelopment by late afternoon/early evening as the colder temperatures aloft associated with the upper-low swing through northeast Oklahoma.

Most of the convection will exit east of the region Saturday night, with a relatively quiet Sunday expected.

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